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Commentary/Saisuresh Sivaswamy

Love him or hate him, V P Singh shows he cannot be ignored

Hardly anyone else provokes the kind of reactions that Vishwanath Pratap Singh does among the electorate: Intense hatred over what a lot many perceive to be betrayal on his part for implementing the Mandal Commission report when his actual mandate was for catching the Bofors thieves; or, total adulation for enfranchising the dispossessed by doing what no other party had dared to do before despite the fact that everyone, including the BJP, promised to implement Mandal. There can hardly be anyone who falls in between these two extreme reactions.

Written off as a political has-been by many, including myself, pilloried as the prime minister who triggered off a caste war, and ridiculed as the only premier in independent India to have been voted out of office on the floor of the Lok Sabha, Singh is a man of many parts. A sensitive poet, an artist of no mediocre talent, no one can blame him for his tenure as prime minister since he did have the candour, perhaps foresight even, to admit earlier on that he would be a disaster in that high office.

Yes, it is a little incredible that the one person solely responsible for elevating the Bharatiya Janata Party from the level of political pariah with just two Lok Sabha members to a redoubtable position in 1989 from which it has not looked back since, has been the architect of the current anti-BJP consensus among political parties.

It was the pariah BJP that was the first beneficiary of his Mandal move, it would seem. But then, Singh, as no other Indian politician alive, is a consummate artiste when it comes to realpolitik. He marches with the beat of the times -- be it the Bofors scandal, the Mandal Commission report, anti-Congressism of anti-BJPism -- and knows what it is that will work at any given point of time.

He was the man solely responsible for demolishing the Congress's carefully cultivated votebank with one swift move that August morning six years ago. As he had then claimed to this correspondent in Bombay, "the real effects of Mandal will be there for all to see... no party will get a clear majority in the Lok Sabha for some time to come... the polity will go through a process of intense churning (manthan).... regional and backward class dominated parties will call the shots.... all this will take some time to settle down.... maybe around 2000 AD the picture will become clearer..."

Well, he was right. He did stir up the polity, naturally it is only right that he is there in the thick of it now, trying to find a modus vivendi between the Congress and the United Front, even as his failing health is a cause for concern. Singh knows that if his effort fails, no only will his efforts so far have come to nought, but it will also bring the BJP to the centrestage of Indian politics from which it is only a hair's breath away.

He knows that the only way to make amends for his error of judgment in 1989 is to cobble together a viable formation that will not only see through the end of the decade but also to into the next elections against the BJP, jointly.

Will he succeed in his efforts? One never knows. He could succeed in his attempts at emasculating the Congress party in the Hindi heartland not only because he knew the ground realities there much better than his rival Rajiv Gandhi who, lacking political maturity and acumen, relied on the advice of those around him. It was thus easy to decimate him and his party, but the BJP is a different ballgame altogether.

The BJP is not run on the whims and fancies of one individual, but on the collective wisdom of its think-tank, which comprises men of understanding. You can deride them, you can adore them, but you cannot wish them away. It is thanks to them that the BJP has risen from the ashes, and is today knocking on the doors of New Delhi.

That its rise has been corresponding with the decline of the Congress party is not a coincidence, and this has been Singh's biggest failure as a politician. He was able to finish off the Congress, but in the vacuum created it has not been his formation that has moved in as he hoped, but the BJP. And it is this failure that he is trying to rectify from his hospital bed in the capital.

Yes, Singh has been sincere in whatever he undertook, even though his critics aver that he often used his sincerity as a garb to cover his real intentions. They say he was sincere as Rajiv Gandhi's finance minister, and just happened to stumble on to Bofors; he was sincere as the defence minister, and the HDW scandal just happened to tumble out of the cupboard; he was sincere as an opposition leader, never mind the accommodation of the BJP; he was sincere as a socialist, forget the fact that he presented India's first truly capitalist budget.

As I said earlier, Singh is a politician first and foremost, not a statesman, who knows that the real purpose of politics is power. To seize it first and retain it after that, is the true intention of the exertions one sees in the corridors of power. At the same time, by keeping himself out of the fray -- which has effectively blunted the criticism against him that he is power-crazy -- he has elevated himself to the status of a rajrishi.

The permutations and combinations that are being worked out in New Delhi and state capitals are the fallout of what this man did six years ago as prime minister. Today he is working towards fulfilling that legacy, only part of which has come true. It is a rare politician who sets out to complete what he has started, although everyone promises to do so, and he belongs to that breed. Personally, I have no lost for the man, but in all fairness I cannot deny him my grudging admiration for what he is trying to do now.

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Saisuresh Sivaswamy
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