Photographs: Nguyen Huy Kham/Reuters
Societe Generale, a major European bank, has a note out asking whether 2013 will be the first year since 2000 that gold ends the year down, according to Business Insider. In it, they present the bullish and bearish argument in the simplest manner possible, it says.
Let's take a look at the arguments that will decide the price of gold this year.
Source: Business Insider
Click NEXT to see the negative factors that could have a bearing on the yellow metal...
7 factors that will decide gold's price this year
Image: An employee looks at gold jewellery at a shop in Hanoi, Vietnam.Photographs: Nguyen Huy Kham/Reuters
Equities stand at their lowest level since 20 years, relative to gold, making the latter less attractive.
...
7 factors that will decide gold's price this year
Image: An employee displays gold jewellery in Russia's Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk.Photographs: Ilya Naymushin/Reuters
The dollar could appreciate and interest rates may rise amid signs of a stronger economic recovery.
...
7 factors that will decide gold
Image: Women walk past the Emirates Diamonds shop at Gold and Diamond Park, a shopping mall specialised in gold and diamond retailing, in Dubai.Photographs: Jumana El-Heloueh/Reuters
Inflation is still under control.
Click NEXT to see three factors that could have a positive bearing on gold...
7 factors that will decide gold's price this year
Image: A woman displays a small gold coin next to Europe's largest gold coin in a shop in Vienna, Austria.Photographs: Herwig Prammer/Reuters
Currency wars and renewed monetary easing could push gold higher.
...
7 factors that will decide gold's price this year
Image: Japanese ornamental 'hina' dolls, made of pure gold, is unveiled at the Ginza Tanaka store in Tokyo.Photographs: Yuriko Nakao/Reuters
Demand from emerging countries may increase.
...
7 factors that will decide gold's price this year
Image: A woman is reflected on the window of a jewellery shop where gold bangles are on display in Istanbul, Turkey.Photographs: Murad Sezer/Reuters
In the long run, gold may play a role in the transition to an international currency reserve system.
Click NEXT to see the most important question of all...
7 factors that will decide gold's price this year
Image: A store keeper arranges gold jewellery in Kathmandu.Photographs: Navesh Chitrakar/Reuters
The most crucial question, really, is the interest rate one. If real interest rates in the US begin to normalise, gold will likely get crushed, as Goldman Sachs (and others) have pointed out lately, according to Business Insider.
article