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Rediff Cricket Ratings Rediff Cricket Ratings
July 3, 2002

NZ challenging England for the third place

M J Manohar Rao and Srinivas Bhogle

England (47.20) are still placed third in the Rediff test ratings; but they face a very strong challenge from a resurgent New Zealand (47.05) test team.

Defeating West Indies in West Indies continues to be very profitable. NZ have gained over three points after this 1-0 series win to climb from 44.01 to 47.05.

Sri Lanka (39.59) too benefit from New Zealand's series victory. They are again ahead of India (39.37). This must re-assure some of our readers who expressed their surprise at India sneaking ahead of Sri Lanka last time. "Sri Lanka can't be seventh after winning so many tests in a row!", many readers wrote. This argument certainly appears reasonable; but we mustn't forget that SL won three out of three each against the lowest placed WI and Zimbabwe at home! Two other wins came against the seventh placed Indians, again at home.

But Sri Lanka, and indeed England, must still be very watchful because the India-England series starting shortly could well change things once again. We calculate that England (and Sri Lanka) would go down even if the series ends 1-0 or 2-1 in England's favour. Table G, which will appear at the end of this article, will highlight all the likely scenarios in the India-England series and their effect on the ratings of India, England, Sri Lanka and New Zealand.

The current (as on July 3, 2002) home-away point tally of test playing teams is shown, below, in Table A.
-- How the rankings work...

TABLE A: Test Score Card (as on Jul 3, 2002)
A W A Y
Aus Eng Ind NZ Pak RSA SL WI Zim
H

O

M

E
Australia 4 / 5
3.5 / 5
1 / 3
3 / 3
3 / 3
1.5 / 3
2 / 3
3 / 3
2 / 3
3 / 3
1 / 3
3 / 3
2 / 4
5 / 5
1 / 1
-
England 1.5 / 5
1 / 5
1 / 3
2 / 3
1.5 / 3
1.5 / 4
2 / 3
1 / 2
2 / 5
3 / 5
2 / 3
2.5 / 3
2 / 6
3.5 / 5
1 / 2
1.5 / 2
India 0 / 3
2 / 3
1 / 3
2 / 3
1 / 3
2 / 3
2 / 4
1 / 3
0.5 / 2
0 / 2
1 / 3
1.5 / 3
2 / 5
1.5 / 3
1 / 2
2 / 2
New Zealand 1.5 / 3
0 / 3
2.5 / 4
1.5 / 3
1 / 3
2 / 3
0 / 1
1.5 / 3
0.5 / 3
1 / 3
1 / 3
2 / 2
1.5 / 2
2 / 2
2 / 2
0.5 / 1
Pakistan 0 / 3
1 / 3
1 / 2
1 / 3
2 / 3
2 / 4
1.5 / 3
1 / 1
1 / 2
1 / 3
2.5 / 3
1 / 4
1 / 3
2 / 2
1.5 / 2
1 / 3
South Africa 0 / 3
1 / 3
2 / 5
3 / 5
2 / 2
1.5 / 2
2 / 3
2.5 / 3
2 / 3
1 / 2
1.5 / 3
2.5 / 3
3 / 5
5 / 5
1 / 1
2 / 2
Sri Lanka 0 / 3
2 / 3
0.5 / 3
1 / 3
1.5 / 3
2 / 3
0 / 2
2 / 3
3 / 4
0.5 / 3
0.5 / 3
1.5 / 3
0.5 / 2
3 / 3
2 / 3
3 / 3
West Indies 0 / 5
2 / 4
1.5 / 5
4 / 6
1.5 / 3
3 / 5
0 / 2
0.5 / 2
0 / 2
2 / 3
0 / 5
2 / 5
0 / 3
1.5 / 2
1.5 / 2
2 / 2
Zimbabwe -
0 / 1
0.5 / 2
1 / 2
0 / 2
1 / 2
0.5 / 1
0 / 2
2 / 3
0.5 / 2
0 / 2
0 / 1
0 / 3
1 / 3
0 / 2
0.5 / 2

The corresponding ranking table, Table F, appears below.

TABLE F: Final Rankings (as on Jul 3, 2002)
Country Performance index (RBI) Rank Difference
18.6.02 to 3.7.02/FONT>
Australia 74.69 1 -0.12
South Africa 56.69 2 -0.03
England 47.20 3 -0.07
New Zealand 47.05 4 +3.04
Pakistan 43.32 5 -0.02
Sri Lanka 39.59 6 +0.28
India 39.37 7 +0.05
West Indies 33.09 8 -1.64
Zimbabwe 18.32 9 -0.03

Finally Table G, below, looks at the more likely scenarios in the forthcoming India-England four-test series.

TABLE G: INDIA VS ENGLAND: PROBABLE SCENARIOS
Points break-up (1 point for win, 0.5 for draw, 0 for loss) Ind's new index (RBI) Eng's new index (RBI) NZ's new index (RBI) SL's new index (RBI) Remarks
Eng: 1, Ind: 3 42.82 45.10 46.97 39.97 NZ 3, Eng 4, Ind 6, SL 7
Eng: 1.5, Ind: 2.5 41.85 45.80 47.00 39.85 NZ 3, Eng 4, Ind 6, SL 7
Eng: 2, Ind: 2 40.81 46.43 47.03 39.73 NZ 3, Eng 4, Ind 6, SL 7
Eng: 2.5, Ind: 1.5 39.71 47.01 47.06 39.61 NZ 3, Eng 4, Ind 6, SL 7
Eng: 3, Ind: 1 38.54 47.52 47.10 39.50 Eng 3, NZ 4, SL 6, Ind 7

Looking at Table G it is clear that India holds the key. Even an "above average" Indian performance would push both England and Sri Lanka down to the fourth and seventh places respectively. One just hopes that India won't falter once again.

M J Manohar Rao is professor and director, Department of Economics, University of Mumbai, Mumbai; Srinivas Bhogle is scientist and head, Information Management Division, National Aerospace Laboratories, Bangalore.

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Design: Imran Shaikh

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