It does feel like we are close to the end of the rupee's rally, says Jamal Mecklai.
While the US is definitely recovering, Europe, Japan and, now, China are all going through another wave of what some fear could be a multi-year slowdown.
It is important to understand that debt investors are a conservative lot and, in general, most such investments are hedged out of foreign exchange risk to simply earn an arbitrage profit, rather than carry the risk to possibly increase their yield.
Volatility ain't going away any time soon. 2013 was the most volatile year for the rupee in at least the last 10, with 2009 not far behind.