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Which way will TN, K'taka, Kerala and AP go if LS polls are held today
CNN-IBN & CSDS has conducted a nationwide election tracker that covers the eastern states of Bihar, West Bengal and Odisha, the southern states of Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Kerala; Gujarat, Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh of West India and three northern states of Rajasthan, Delhi and Uttar Pradesh.
Lets’s look today at the Southern states of Andhra Pradesh, Kerala, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu.
The findings are based on a survey conducted in 18 states, carried out by Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies between January 5 and January 15. 18,951 voters were surveyed across 1,081 locations of 291 Parliamentary constituencies.
Women comprise 44.2 per cent of the sample. 19.2 per cent consists of Scheduled Caste respondents and 7.4 per cent is made up of Adivasis. Muslims constitute 11.6 per cent of the sample...24.5 per cent are from urban areas.
Andhra Pradesh
| YSR Cogress | 11-19 |
| TDP | 9-15 |
| INC | 5-9 |
| TRS | 4-8 |
| Others | 0-4 |
- Eight per cent drop in Cong vote share across Andhra Pradesh; only 24 per cent projected to vote for it
- Twenty-two per cent say they prefer YSR Congress; 21 per cent prefer TDP and 11 per cent will choose TRS
- Satisfaction levels with AP Govt drops 10 per cent in a year; only 31 per cent say they satisfied
- Fifty-five per cent respondents say they are not satisfied with AP Govt; it’s a 10 per cent jump in a year
- Thirty-seven per cent respondents say they are satisfied with Kiran Kumar Reddy as Andhra CM
- Fifty-four per cent respondents say they are not satisfied with Kiran Kumar Reddy as Andhra CM
- Fifty-six per cent across AP say Cong does not deserve another chance at governing their state
- Seventy per cent Seemandhra respondents say Cong does not deserve another chance in power
- Only 12 per cent respondents say UPA Govt deserves another chance to govern at the Centre
Which way will TN, K'taka, Kerala and AP go if LS polls are held today
| UDF | 12-18 |
| LDF | 2-8 |
- Ruling Cong-led UDF may secure 50 per cent vote share in Kerala, up by 2% since 2009 LS polls
- LDF may secure only 31 per cent vote share in Kerala; down 9 per cent since 2009 Lok Sabha elections
- Fifty-seven per cent respondents say they are satisfied with Oomen Chandy’s performance as Kerala CM
- Forty per cent respondents say they are not satisfied with Oomen Chandy’s performance as CM
Which way will TN, K'taka, Kerala and AP go if LS polls are held today
Tamil Nadu
| AIADMK | 15-23 |
| DMK | 7-13 |
| INC | 1-5 |
| Others | 4-10 |
- The AIADMK projected to secure 27 per cent vote share in Tamil Nadu if LS polls are held today
- The DMK projected to secure 18 per cent vote share, Cong projected to secure 17 per cent vote share & BJP projected to secure 16 per cent vote share
- Sixty per cent respondents say they are satisfied with AIADMK Govt’s work in Tamil Nadu
- Sixty-four per cent respondents say they are satisfied with work of Jayalalithaa as Tamil Nadu CM
- Only 26 per cent respondents say they are not satisfied with work of Jayalalithaa as TN CM
- The UPA Govt at Centre loses more popularity in TN; only 19 per cent prefer giving another chance
Which way will TN, K'taka, Kerala and AP go if LS polls are held today
Karnataka
| INC | 10-18 |
| BJP | 6-10 |
| JDS | 4-8 |
- The Congress projected to secure 42per cent vote share in Karnataka if Lok Sabha polls are held today
- The BJP likely to secure 32 per cent vote share while JDS projected to secure 18 per cent vote share
- Seventy-one per cent respondents say they are satisfied with Congress government in Karnataka
- Forty-three per cent respondents say Yeddyurappa will be a liability for the BJP in Karnataka