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2013 assembly elections: What the exit-polls are saying
Exit polls on television channels on Monday predicted a clear win for the BJP in Madhya Pradesh and Delhi, while the polls suggest a tie between Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party and the Congress with around 18 seats each and a vote share of 28 per cent in Delhi.
Chhattisgarh
Seat projection | 2013 | 2008 |
Bharatiya Janata Party | 45-55 | (50) |
Congress | 32-40 | (38) |
Others | 1-7 | (2) |
CNN IBN-The Week post-poll study in Chhattisgarh projects:
42 per cent vote share for the BJP
38% vote share for the Congress
Post-poll study estimates the BJP may secure between 45 and 55 seats
Post-poll study estimates the Congress may secure between 32 and 40
A massive 81 per cent respondents say they are satisfied with the BJP government
46 per cent respondents name Raman Singh as preferred choice for Chhattisgarh chief minister
21 per cent respondents name the Congress’ Ajit Jogi as preferred choice
Madhya Pradesh
Seat projection | 2013 | 2008 |
Bharatiya Janata Party | 136-146 | (143) |
Congress | 67-77 | (71) |
Others | 13-21 | (16) |
CNN IBN-The Week post-poll study in Madhya Pradesh projects:
The BJP may get 41 per cent vote share
The Congress may get 35 per cent
The BJP may get between 136 and 146 seats
The Congress may get between 67 and 77 seats
72 per cent respondents say they are satisfied with the BJP government in MP
74 per cent respondents say they are satisfied with Shivraj Singh Chouhan as CM
Among options for preferred CM, 45 per cent back Shivraj Singh; 26 per cent prefer Jyotiraditya Scindia
Rajasthan
Seat projection | 2013 | 2008 |
Bharatiya Janata Party | 126-136 | (78) |
Congress | 49-57 | (96) |
Others | 12-20 | (26) |
CNN IBN-The Week post-poll study in Rajasthan projects:
9 per cent gain for the BJP in Rajasthan; may secure 43 per cent vote share
4 per cent drop for the Congress; may secure 33 per cent vote share
The BJP may secure between 126 and 136 seats
The Congress may secure between 49 and 57 seats
Ashok Gehlot government’s satisfaction level drops to 56 per cent as opposed to 68 per cent of Vasundhara Raje in 2008
50 per cent respondents say that the ruling Gehlot government does not deserve another chance
49 per cent respondents say they prefer Vasundhara Raje as Rajasthan CM; only 27 per cent prefer Gehlot.
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ABP News-Nielsen Exit Poll for New Delhi
ABP News-Nielsen Exit Poll for New Delhi
BJP is likely to win with full majority with 37 seats in Delhi assembly polls:
Party | Actual vote percentage in the 2008 assembly elections | Actual seats in the 2008 assembly elections | Vote Share percentage as per the opinion poll in November 2013 | Seats as per the Exit poll in November 2013 |
INC | 40.46 | 41 | 29 | 16 |
BJP | 36.76 | 24 | 33 | 37 |
AAP | 28 | 15 | ||
Independent& others | 22.8 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Total | 100 | 70 | 100 | 70 |
Madhya Pradesh
The BJP is likely to make a hat-trick with 138 seats in Madhya Pradesh
Party | Actual vote percentage in the 2008 assembly elections | Actual seats in the 2008 assembly elections | Vote Share percentage as per the opinion poll in November 2013 | Seats as per the Exit poll in November 2013 |
INC | 32.1 | 66 | 33 | 80 |
BJP | 37.9 | 148 | 39 | 138 |
BSP | 9.1 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
BJSH | 4.9 | 5 | ||
Independent& others | 100 | 230 | 100 | 70 |
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