According the latest CNN-IBN-CSDS-Lokniti post poll survey, the National Democratic Alliance is projected to win 274 to 286 seats, and the Bharatiya Janata Party is projected to win 230 to 242 seats on its own, it best ever poll tally.
The United Progressive Alliance projected to win 92 to 102 seats. The Congress is projected to win 72 to 82 seats on its own, its worst-ever poll tally. The Modi wave in Hindi heartland and Maharashtra will power NDA past 274 seats, according to the survey.
THE BIG NATIONAL PICTURE
|
|
PROJECTED SEATS |
|
NDA |
274 - 286 |
|
UPA |
92-102 |
|
TMC |
25--31 |
|
ADMK |
22--28 |
|
Left Front |
14--20 |
|
SP |
13--17 |
|
BJD |
12--16 |
|
YRSC |
11--15 |
|
BSP |
10--14 |
|
TRS |
8--12 |
|
DMK+ |
7--11 |
|
AAP |
3--7 |
|
COMPOSITION OF ALLIANCES (Major Parties)
|
|
|
BJP |
230-242 |
|
INC |
72-82 |
|
TDP |
12--16 |
|
SS |
10--14 |
|
RJD |
8--12 |
All India - Final Vote Estimate based on All Phases
Post Poll Survey-based Vote Estimate – All Phases
|
|
2014 Post Poll Survey-based vote estimate (%) |
|
UPA |
26.0 |
|
NDA |
40.0 |
|
Others |
34.0 |
Post Poll Survey-based Vote Estimate
|
|
2014 Post Poll Survey-based vote estimate (%) |
|
Cong |
22.5 |
|
Cong allies |
3.5 |
|
BJP |
33.5 |
|
BJP allies |
6.5 |
|
BSP |
4.5 |
|
Left |
4.0 |
|
SP |
3.5 |
|
AAP |
3.0 |
|
Others |
19.0 |
Special Coverage: Election 2014
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UTTAR PRADESH
After the final phase of polling BJP+ projected to get 39 per cent votes in Uttar Pradesh, up from 18% in 2009
Samajwadi Party projected to get 25 per cent votes in Uttar Pradesh, up from 23 per cent in 2009
BSP projected to get 22 per cent votes in Uttar Pradesh, down from 27 per cent in 2009
Cong-RLD projected to get 10% votes in Uttar Pradesh, down from 22% in 2009
BIHAR
BJP-LJP alliance projected to get 43 per cent votes in Bihar, up from 20 per cent in 2009
RJD-Cong alliance to get 30 per cent votes in Bihar, the same as in 2009
Janata Dal (United) to get only 15 per cent votes in Bihar, down from 24 per cent in 2009
WEST BENGAL
- TMC projected to get 38 per cent votes in West Bengal, up from 31 per cent in 2009
- Left Front projected to get 24 per cent votes in West Bengal, down from 43 per cent in 2009
- BJP projected to get 15 per cent votes in West Bengal, up from 6 per cent in 2009
- Congress projected to get 13 per cent votes in West Bengal, down from 14 per cent in 2009
UTTAR PRADESH
- BJP highest vote-getter
- BJP poaches BSP, Congress votes
SEAT PROJECTION
|
BJP+Apna Dal |
45-53 |
|
SP |
13-17 |
|
BSP |
10-14 |
|
Cong+RLD |
3-5 |
VOTE SHARE
|
|
2009 |
POST-POLL’ 14 |
|
BJP+Apna Dal |
17.5 |
39 |
|
SP |
23.3 |
25 |
|
BSP |
27.4 |
22 |
|
Cong+RLD |
21.5 |
10 |
|
Others |
10.3 |
4 |
- BJP+ projected to get 39 per cent votes in Uttar Pradesh, up from 18 per cent in 2009
- Samajwadi Party projected to get 25 per cent votes in Uttar Pradesh, up from 23% in 2009
- BSP projected to get 22% votes in Uttar Pradesh, down from 27 per cent in 2009
- Cong-RLD projected to get 10 per cent votes in Uttar Pradesh, down from 22 per cent in 2009
-----------------------------------------
BIHAR
MODI WAVE IN BIHAR
NITISH KUMAR TO BE DECIMATED
SEAT PROJECTION
|
BJP-LJP |
21-27 |
|
Cong-RJD-NCP |
11-15 |
|
JDU |
2-4 |
VOTE SHARE
|
|
2009 |
POST-POLL’ 14 |
|
BJP-LJP |
20.5 |
43 |
|
Cong-RJD-NCP |
29.6 |
30 |
|
JDU |
24.0 |
15 |
|
Others |
25.9 |
12 |
- BJP-LJP alliance projected to get 43 per cent votes in Bihar, up from 20 per cent in 2009
- RJD-Cong alliance to get 30 per cent votes in Bihar, the same as in 2009
- Janata Dal (United) to get only 15 per cent votes in Bihar, down from 24 per cent in 2009
-----------------------------------------
WEST BENGAL
- MAMATA RULES IN WEST BENGAL
- BJP DOUBLES VOTES IN W BENGAL
SEAT PROJECTION
|
AITC |
25-31 |
|
Left Front |
7-11 |
|
BJP |
1-3 |
|
Cong |
2-4 |
VOTE SHARE
|
|
2009 |
POST-POLL’ 14 |
|
AITC |
31.2 |
38 |
|
Left Front |
43.3 |
24 |
|
BJP |
6.1 |
15 |
|
Cong |
13.5 |
13 |
|
Others |
5.9 |
10 |
TMC projected to get 38 per cent votes in West Bengal, up from 31 per cent in 2009
Left Front projected to get 24 per cent votes in West Bengal, down from 43 per cent in 2009
BJP projected to get 15 per cent votes in West Bengal, up from 6 per cent in 2009
Congress projected to get 13 per cent votes in West Bengal, down from 14 per cent in 2009
