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Exit polls get BJP's 'capital gains' right

February 08, 2025 16:32 IST

Most exit polls on the Delhi assembly elections hit close to home as the Bharatiya Janata Party marched ahead with an insuperable lead over the ruling Aam Aadmi Party in the national capital.

IMAGE: BJP workers celebrate party's win in Delhi assembly polls in Mumbai.. Photograph: Sahil Salvi for Rediff.com

According to the Election Commission trends, by 3 pm, of the 70 Assembly seats, BJP had won 20 and was leading on another 27, while the AAP won 11, and was leading on 12. The Congress could not get any seats.

Among the key exit polls, the closest were Axis My India, which projected the BJP winning 45-55 seats, and AAP bagging 15-25, while Today's Chanakya had predicted 45-57 seats for the BJP, and 13-25 for the AAP.

 

People's Insight exit poll gave the BJP and allies 40 to 44 seats, 25 to 29 to AAP;

P-Marq exit poll predicted 39-49 seats for the BJP and allies, and 21-31 seats for AAP; JVC exit poll said the BJP and allies would get 39-45, and AAP would get 22-31 seats; and Chanakya Strategies exit poll said the BJP and allies were likely to get 39-44 seats, and the AAP was likely to get 25-28

Some pollsters predicted a bigger share for BJP. CNX predicted a landslide for the BJP with 49-61 seats, and 10-19 seats for the ruling party. The People's Pulse exit poll showed the NDA was likely to get 51 to 60 seats, while the AAP was said to get 10-19 seats.

Two surveys predicted AAP's victory -- Wee Preside, which gave it 46-52 and 18-23 for BJP and Mind Brink Media, which predicted 44-49 seats for AAP, 21-25 for BJP, and 0-1 for the Congress.

Matrize exit poll predicted that the BJP-led NDA would get 35-40 seats, while the AAP might bag 32 to 37 seats. DV Research predicted 26-34 seats for the AAP, and 36-44 for the BJP and allies, giving zero seats to the Congress.

Most surveys predicted 0-1 seats for the Congress, while some, like the Chanakya Strategies exit poll predicted it may get 2-3 seats.

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