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Sources in the Delhi police told rediff.com that had the attack gone as planned the consequences would have been disastrous. As per the original plan the bomb was to explode first and was to be followed by the firing. The idea was to create a scare and fire on people as they left the Masjid.
However when the gunmen found that the bomb had not gone off as planned , they decided to target the tourist bus at the venue. This is an indication that they had not planned on attacking the bus as per the original plan.
Intelligence Bureau officials who are part of the investigation say that the attack was planned in Delhi itself. "Barring the email we have not found any traces of the Indian Mujahideen as yet. All the leads point to a local module which had decided to create panic ahead of the Commonwealth Games. The email too does not make any direct mention to the Jama Masjid attack. It was a portion later added later and sent. The original mail which was sent out in a PDF format has no mention of the Jama Masjid attack" said a senior officer.
During investigations, the trail led to Mumbai and Home Minister P Chidambaram claimed that the mail was traced to a server from Norway. The IB says that the attack was very well planned and they have followed the exact pattern as the IM. However the lack of experience in bomb making and final execution is what made the attack a dud. This is probably because they were carrying out an attack for the first time and hence could have faltered when it came to the final execution.
The IB says that the IM has plenty of sympathisers in Delhi and Mumbai. There are a large number of them who feel that many youth had been targeted unnecessarily by the police and they felt that it was necessary for them to keep the organisation alive.