AAP will get 51 seats in Delhi polls, says party's survey

Two days ahead of the Delhi Assembly elections, an internal survey by AAP on Wednesday predicted a clear majority for it giving itself 51 seats followed by 15 to BJP and a paltry four seats for Congress and others.

Releasing the results of the survey, party leader Yogendra Yadav claimed 53 per cent voters in the city preferred Arvind Kejriwal as their Chief Minister while 34 per cent wanted BJP's Kiran Bedi to head the next government.

He said, in terms of vote share, AAP is likely to get 46 per cent vote share while BJP will get 33 per cent and Congress 11 per cent. Others have been projected to get 10 per cent of the total votes.

Yadav, himself a psephologist, said in the best case scenario AAP may get 57 seats and in the worst case scenario it will bag at least 44 seats.

"Even in the worst case scenario, AAP will get 44 seats with 20 going to BJP which will be their best performance according to us. In the best case scenario we will get 57 seats, BJP will get a meagre 10 while 4 will go to Congress and others," Yadav said.

Elaborating on the methodology of the survey, conducted over two days on January 31 and February 1, he claimed there was a "wave" in favour of AAP.

The survey had a sample size of 3,188 respondents spread over 35 constituencies. Twelve per cent respondents were from the rural areas where as 17 per cent belonged to the upper middle class. Around 13 per cent were Muslims.

The result of the AAP's internal survey came a day before campaigning for the February 7 polls comes to an end.

The India Today-Cicero pre-poll survey yesterday projected AAP to get 38-46 seats while BJP was projected to secure 19-25 seats. The Congress was placed way behind with only 3-7 seats.

In the 'poll of polls' based on the results of five polls, AAP gets 34 out of 70 while BJP 32 and Congress 4.

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Yadav termed the survey results of some TV channels as "serious underestimation of the ground reality".

Asked whether there could be any impact of the donation fiasco on the results, a number of leaders admitted that there may be swing in the party's support base in the middle class families.

Survey by the Aam Aadmi Party on Wednesday predicted 51 seats for itself, 15 for the Bharatiya Janata Party and a paltry 4 seats for Congress and others in the Delhi assembly polls as the campaign for the electoral battle reached its crescendo.

Giving details of the AAP survey, senior party leader Yogendra Yadav said 53 per cent voters in the city wanted Arvind Kejriwal as the chief minister while 24 per cent preferred BJP’s Kiran Bedi for the post.

He said AAP is likely to get 46 per cent vote share while BJP will get 33 per cent and Congress 11 per cent. Others have been projected to get 10 per cent of the total votes.