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Why is gold a bit anti-India?
The fundamental reasons for buying gold jewellery are rooted in Indian culture especially during weddings.
India's love affair with gold has lasted over the ages.
India is the largest consumer of gold in the world.
Roughly, 700 tonnes or about 33 per cent of the total gold mined in the world is consumed in India.
That makes India the largest importer of gold.
If such large quantities of food items were imported, it is quite understandab#8804 it would feed people.
But what is the use of gold?
We may not have a solid reason, but traditionally we have been buying gold.
Let us get into some basics: Worldwide roughly 52 per cent of the gold produced is used for making jewellery, about 12 per cent is used for industrial purposes, 18 per cent as Investments holdings (Gold ETFs etc, unaccounted) and remaining 18 per cent is central bank holdings.
Out of the 52 per cent worldwide jewellery consumption, majority happens in India. Roughly a middle class household buys Rs 15-80 lakhs (Rs 1.5-8 million) worth of gold jewellery in a lifetime.
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Why is gold a bit anti-India?
Why do Indians buy so much of jewellery?
The fundamental reasons for buying gold jewellery are rooted in Indian culture especially during weddings.
Lot of alteration has happened to our traditions but gold purchase on the occasion of wedding has not changed much.
Though the newer generation is not too fond of wearing or flaunting gold jewellery, the demand for gold jewellery has not gone down.
We end up demanding 950 tonnes of gold every year.
Why do we wish to maintain this aspect of our culture and tradition?
Though many of us may not understand the inflation angle of it, intuitively we all know that it is a great wealth preserver.
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Why is gold a bit anti-India?
Wealth is preserved when the value of investments grow at a rate more than the inflation rate.
Gold precisely has done that consistently for years.
Hence Indians find gold to be a safe and simple investment avenue to beat inflation.
The other alternatives like real estate and equities are out of reach or complicated for an average Indian and so they keep accumulating gold.
After all gold is wearable wealth too.
So what is the fuss about it?
Why should the government worry when we are actually saving and creating wealth as we buy gold?
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Why is gold a bit anti-India?
At the individual level, it seems to be highly beneficial in buying gold but there are serious repercussions at the national level.
For us to understand this we need to get into abit of detailing.
Where does this much gold come from?
The top five producers of gold in the world are China, USA, Australia, South Africa and Russian Federation.
India does not produce much of the gold consumed.
That means we need to buy gold from these countries.
Gold nearly constitutes 12 per cent of the total imports and comes only next to crude and capital good.
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Why is gold a bit anti-India?
This causes problems in forex and you wonder what the problem is.
When we import gold we need to pay in foreign currency and we roughly require $60 billion worth of dollars.
This directly affects the value of rupee negatively and thus creating further prices raises especially petrol and diesel.
Another reason why gold may not be great to the economy is its unproductive nature. Gold does nothing but remain idle in safes or bank vaults.
Other financial instruments like fixed deposits, investment policies, shares, bonds etc is a great source of productive funds for corporate and government bodies, creating positive impact on the economy.
This is making the government jittery.
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Why is gold a bit anti-India?
Government wants to discourage import of gold and hence have recently hiked the import duty.
We believe this might not create too much impact on the demand as people might absorb the price rise and may even end up assuming to have created wealth.
Increase in import duty may encourage smuggling and black economy.
If the finance minister openly declares that the import duty will be brought down at a particular date, then the investors may refrain from investing in gold till that period.
The way out for individual investors
We do not suggest you totally boycott gold as investment. But ensure it does not exceed 15 per cent of your total investment corpus. And instead of buying physical gold look at gold ETFs and gold mutual funds.
May be in the next century if the world economy goes back to the gold standards, Indians will be the richest then.
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