Rupee recovers after hitting 3-week lows

After falling to three-week low of 54.07 on sluggish industrial output and rising inflation, the rupee today wiped out losses to end stable at 53.85, snapping a four-day losing trend, on late dollar sales and FII inflows.

On Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market, the rupee commenced lower at 53.95 a dollar from the previous close of 53.85,. It dropped to a three-week intra-day low of 54.07 on continued dollar demand from importers and initial hesitancy in local stock markets.

Dollar demand surged after government data showed growth in industrial output contracted by 0.6 per cent in December while retail inflation, on the other hand, remained in double digits at 10.79 per cent in January.

However, late dollar selling by exporters and rise in stocks helped the rupee to bounce back to a high of 53.84, before ending at its overnight closing level of 53.85.

In last four trading sessions, the rupee had dipped by 71 paise or 1.34 per cent against the US dollar.

"The rupee witnessed a pressure after the disappointing IIP numbers. However it saw late appreciation taking cues from recovery in domestic stocks, the gains in the euro and weak dollar index," said Abhishek Goenka, Founder and CEO, India Forex Advisors.

According to provisional BSE data, FIIs bought Indian stocks worth Rs 600 crore today. The Indian benchmark Sensex closed up by 100.47 points, snapping a eight-day losing trend.

Globally, the dollar index was down by 0.21 per cent against a basket of six major currencies, which also aided the rupee to end stable.
Pramit Brahmbhatt, CEO, Alpari Financial Services (India) said: "The rupee reversed most of its intra-day losses in the second half of session after the dollar index edged lower from its intra-day high of over 80.50 levels to 80.20 levels after the G7 nations pledged to keep fair exchange rate and not indulge in lowering of home currencies."

The premium for the forward dollar ended steady to better on stray payments from banks and corporates. The benchmark six-month forward dollar premium payable in July closed at 181-1/2-183-1/2 paise from Monday's close of 181-1/2-183 paise.

Far-forward contracts maturing in January finished up at 346-348 paise from 344-1/2-346 paise. The RBI fixed the reference rate for the US dollar at 53.9585 and for euro at 72.2305.

The rupee rebounded against the pound sterling to 84.02 from previous close of 84.50 while improved further against the Japanese Yen to 57.14 per 100 yen from 57.72.

It, however, remained weak to end at 72.45 per euro from overnight close of 72.05.