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FMCG: Gets a few indirect benefits

July 07, 2009 18:27 IST
The thrust on agriculture, removal of Fringe Benefit Tax etc should help improve the earnings of the FMCG sector.

Budget Provisions

Industry expectation

The industry was expecting an increase in allocation for National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme and abolition of FBT, both of which were fulfilled the finance minister.

The minister has touched some of the points on custom duty reduction for specified machinery for tea and coffee and on 'mechanical harvester' for coffee plantation which were not expected by the industry at large.

Budget Impact

The budget was partly in favor of the FMCG sector, which doesn't have direct benefit but will see the indirect effect. FMCG sector present is depending lots on the rural developments for the volume growth.

Increase in allocation for NREGS will indirectly help to increase the demand of daily requirement of FMCG products in the rural area. Also a small increase in tax exemption limits will give little bit more money in the hands of the consumer for spend.

Stock to watch

Hindustan Unilever (HUL), Dabur India, ITC and Godrej Consumer Products (GCPL).

Outlook

Overall, the budget was good for the FMCG sector as rural growth and more discretionary money in hands of consumer for spends.

The fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector continues to perform very well for FY09 despite fall in GDP number and poor performance by the other industries. Rural income and sentiments are on an uptick due to food price inflation, loan waiver, subsidies, employment generation schemes and better farm practices.

With expected no change in excise duty and emphasis on rural development, the FMCG sector, which has seen huge growth coming form rural region is certainly going to benefit.

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