We anticipate the short term rates to come down in April as liquidity would remain comfortable
"Govt announced Fiscal deficit of Rs 5.25 trn (5.9% of GDP) for FY12 as against budgeted figure of 4.6%.
For FY13, the govt has pegged the Fiscal deficit at Rs 5.15 trn (5.1%) of GDP.
The government borrowed Rs 5.1 trn approx. (gross borrowing) in FY12 and has pegged FY13 gross borrowing at 570000 cr.
This construes to a borrowing of 110% of fiscal deficit in FY13 as compared to 90%-95% generally.
Initial workings show an additional borrowing in dated securities of Rs 55000 cr for FY 13, out of which, Rs 25000 cr can be attributed to additional redemptions.
Remaining Rs 30000 cr can be attributed to repayment of treasury bills, lesser reliance on small savings and lower disinvestment proceeds target.
The high level of gross borrowings would start having a drag on longer end of the curve.
Also, with majority of redemptions in FY13 slated in 1st half, the government would have to front-load the borrowing calendar.
This would mean a borrowing of Rs 15k-16k every week. We expect yield curve to come under pressure and steepen as we head into next year.
We expect 10yr G-Sec to trade 8.40% to 8.50% in near future and then inch upto 8.60-8.75% in next quarter.
The shorter end of the curve would remain supported as liquidity in the system would remain comfortable and most of the borrowing would come in the longer end.
We also anticipate the short term rates to come down in April as liquidity would remain comfortable.
-- Ritesh Jain, Head of Investments, Canara Robeco Mutual Fund to today's Union Budget 2012
Use of mobile technology to manage fertiliser movement and subsity is a novel step
A status quo budget.
Use of mobile technology to manage fertiliser movement and subsidy is a novel step and will act as catalyst for other M-governance projects.
Service tax base widened and little relief for common man.
-- Mahavir Chand, Managing Director, GoDB Tech Pvt Ltd
Union Budget 2012-13 positive for the broking industry
The broking industry will get a big boost with the proposed Rajiv Gandhi Equity Scheme helping to revive the retail investor interest in the equity markets.
More retail investors coming into the market to avail the tax benefit of Rs.50000 for investment into stocks augurs well for the long term health of the broking industry.
This coupled with the reduction in STT by 20% on investment transactions is very positive for capital market intermediaries.
-- Sandeep Nayak CEO, Centrum Broking
Union Budget 2012-13 lacks on reform intent
Overall, the budget lacks on reforms intent. Finance Minister has tweaked the rates and his political compulsions probably held him back from looking at reforms initiatives.
1. ECB for the low-cost housing and interest subventions for the affordable housing is a good initiative.
2. Direct taxes provide some relief but not significant push home buying higher.
3. Inclusion of Affordable housing under other industries for reduction of withholding tax for interest payment is a good policy move.
4. Increase in Excise Duty and Service tax will increase the burden on home buyers. I wish the Finance minister had provided relief to housing industry and home buyers
The middle class will spend more than save on account of this budget."
-- K S Sudarshan, Chief Operating Officer, Ozonegroup
Union Budget 2012-13: No carrot to offer a common man
The budget had no carrot to give a common man.
The Income Tax exemption level upto Rs 2 lakh for the general category of individual taxpayers was anticipated he said.
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The budget speech of the Finance Minister is silent on import duty on power equipment and this is a great disappointment for the electrical equipment industry even though we has to go throught the fineprint.
However the power sector is given a push by way of extension of 80IA sunset clause, customs duty waiver for coal etc.
-- Narayan Sethuraman, MD, WS Industries