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Telecom: Growing at breakneck speed
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February 21, 2008 16:04 IST

The telecommunication industry is growing at a breakneck speed with leading players lapping up mobile subscribers by millions month on month. The country's telecom market is the 4th largest in the world in terms of wireless subscribers and 5th largest in terms of total telecom subscribers (Source: Bharti Airtel [Get Quote] presentation).

After growing its wireless (GSM and CDMA) subscriber base to over 200 m by the end of December 2007, the country is expected to take the number to 500 m telecom subscribers by the end of March 2010.

This growth is likely to be aided by the availability of cheaper handsets, focus of regulatory measures to take telephony to rural markets, lower tariffs and general buoyancy in the economy.

Industry wish list

COAI -- Cellular Operators Association of India

               a. TDS should not be applicable on interconnect charges paid by companies and necessary clarification / notification should be issued in this matter.
               b. Tax holiday benefits in case of mergers/ amalgamations should be continued.
               c. Section 80--IA benefits should be available to companies undergoing amalgamation or demerger after 31st March 2007.
               d. The period during which 80-IA can be claimed by the telecom operators should be extended to 20 years in place of existing 15 years; 100% exemption for successive 10 years out of the 20 years.
               e. Fringe Benefit Tax should not be applicable on ESOPs. Reduce FBT from 20% to 5% on boarding & lodging in consonance with other service industry.

Budget over the years

Budget 2005-06

Budget 2006-07

Budget 2007-08

Key positives

Connecting India: The telecom sector has been one of the fastest growing sectors in the Indian economy in the last 4 years. This has been witnessed due to strong competition that has brought down tariffs as well as simplification of policy environment that has promoted healthy competition among various players.

Due to this reason, telecom density in the country has risen to nearly 20% at the end of January 2008, from 3.5% in January 2001.

It's ringing mobile: The Indian mobile sector has been growing rapidly and has emerged as the fastest growing market in the whole world. Currently of a size of over 200 m subscribers (GSM plus CDMA), this sector is expected to reach a size of nearly 500 m subscribers by the year 2010. The increasing monthly addition to the subscriber base (currently at around 7 to 8 m) is indicative of the same.

Broadband push: The government is expected to increase its thrust on the use of Internet. This will come about as PC penetration increases. We expect to see some positive measures being initiated to increase broadband usage in the country.

Key negatives

Spectrum woes: The telecom sector continues to expand at a rapid pace adding coverage and increasing teledensity as more and more people get connected. However, as subscriber base continues to swell and the need for wireless data transfers over mobile grows, the operators are likely to face increased shortage of spectrum availability (as they are facing now). This problem is especially acute in urban areas, which have got higher teledensity.

Highly taxed sector: The COAI (Cellular Operators Association of India) has indicated that the telecom sector, especially the cellular services segment, continues to pay very high duties and levies.

Currently, the sector is paying duties and levies under various heads including annual license fees, spectrum charges and access deficit charge (this has been partly reduces of late). In addition to the above, significant levies are also imposed on the industry on account of sales tax, service tax and import duties on handsets and other telecom hardware.

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