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March 5, 2002
England still sixth; NZ still seventh
M J Manohar Rao and Srinivas Bhogle
After going up 2-0 in their five-match series against England, New Zealand had a wonderful opportunity to gain the sixth place in the Rediff ratings for ODI's. Sadly, by losing the next two, and only managing to win 3-2, NZ ended up still being seventh.
In a curious turnaround, Pakistan and Sri Lanka again swap places -- with Pakistan regaining the third place by the tiniest of margins. Remember, however, that these changes effectively occur at the third decimal place. So, in all fairness, we should say that Pakistan and Sri Lanka are joint third. It is only when Pak meet SL (at Sharjah in April) that we will have a definite verdict. The current scorecard for the major ODI playing teams is shown in Table A.
| TABLE A: ODI SCORE CARD (as on March 4, 2002) |
| |
| |
Aus |
Eng |
Ind |
NZ |
Pak |
RSA |
SL |
WI |
Zim |
|
Australia |
H
A
N
|
|
6 / 8
3 / 6
0 / 1
|
4 / 4
4 / 8
0 / 1
|
1 / 5
6 / 7
0 / 1
|
5 / 6
5 / 6
2 / 3
|
4.5/7
1 / 3
1.5 / 2
|
4 / 5
3 / 6
0 / 1
|
7/ 7
3.5 / 7
1 / 1
|
4 / 4
3 / 3
1 / 1
|
| England |
H
A
N
|
3 / 6
2 / 8
1 / 1
|
|
2 / 3
3 / 7
0 / 2
|
2 / 3
2 / 6
0 / 1
|
2 / 6
1 / 4
1 / 2
|
1 / 4
2 / 11
0 / 1
|
2 / 2
0 / 3
3 / 5
|
3 / 5
1 / 5
2 / 2
|
3 / 4
5 / 5
1 / 2
|
| India |
H
A
N
|
4 / 8
0 / 4
1 / 1
|
4 / 7
1 / 3
2 / 2
|
|
4 / 6
2 / 5
1 / 3
|
1 / 9
1 / 3
0 / 1
|
4 / 9
3 / 11
1 / 1
|
3 / 4
2 / 7
0 / 3
|
5 / 6
1 / 4
2 / 3
|
6 / 7
4 / 5
2 / 2
|
| New Zealand |
H
A
N
|
1 / 7
4 / 5
1 / 1
|
4 / 6
1 / 3
1 / 1
|
3 / 5
2 / 6
2 / 3
|
|
3 / 7
1 / 4
0 / 2
|
3 / 6
0 / 7
1 / 6
|
2 / 6
0 / 5
1 / 2
|
6 / 6
2 / 5
0 / 1
|
2 / 4
1 / 3
1 / 1
|
| Pakistan |
H
A
N
|
1 / 6
1 / 6
1 / 3
|
3 / 4
4 / 6
1 / 2
|
2 / 3
8 / 9
1 / 1
|
3 / 4
4 / 7
2 / 2
|
|
0 / 1
0 / 4
1 / 2
|
0 / 4
4 / 7
2 / 3
|
1.5 / 4
4.5/10
2 / 3
|
2 / 3
2 / 2
2 / 2
|
| South Africa |
H
A
N
|
2 / 3
2.5/7
0.5 / 2
|
9 / 11
3 / 4
1 / 1
|
8 / 11
5 / 9
0 / 1
|
7 / 7
3 / 6
5 / 6
|
4 / 4
1 / 1
1 / 2
|
|
7 / 9
1 / 5
1 / 1
|
8 / 10
5 / 7
1 / 1
|
2 / 3
3 / 3
1 / 1
|
| Sri Lanka |
H
A
N
|
3 / 6
1 / 5
1 / 1
|
3 / 3
0 / 2
2 / 5
|
5 / 7
1 / 4
3 / 3
|
5 / 5
4 / 6
1 / 2
|
3 / 7
4 / 4
1 / 3
|
4 / 5
2 / 9
0 / 1
|
|
3 / 5
0 / 1
1 / 1
|
5 / 5
3 / 4
2 / 2
|
| West Indies |
H
A
N
|
3.5 / 7
0 / 7
0 / 1
|
4 / 5
2 / 5
0 / 2
|
3 / 4
1 / 6
1 / 3
|
3 / 5
0 / 6
1 / 1
|
5.5/10
2.5 / 4
1 / 3
|
2 / 7
2 / 10
0 / 1
|
1 / 1
2 / 5
0 / 1
|
|
2 / 2
2 / 2
1 / 2
|
| Zimbabwe |
H
A
N
|
0 / 3
0 / 4
0 / 1
|
0 / 5
1 / 4
1 / 2
|
1 / 5
1 / 7
0 / 2
|
2 / 3
2 / 4
0 / 1
|
0 / 2
1 / 3
0 / 2
|
0 / 3
1 / 3
0 / 1
|
1 / 4
0 / 5
0 / 2
|
0 / 2
0 / 2
1 / 2
|
|
The current ODI rankings are shown in Table F, below.
| TABLE F: FINAL ODI RANKINGS (as on March 4, 2002) |
| Country |
Performance
index (RBI) |
Difference
18.2.02 to 4.3.02 |
Rank |
| Australia |
65.01 |
+0.07 |
1 |
| South Africa |
63.90 |
-0.11 |
2 |
| Pakistan |
52.68 |
+0.48 |
3 |
| Sri Lanka |
52.39 |
+0.03 |
4 |
| India |
39.73 |
-0.22 |
5 |
| England |
38.33 |
-0.64 |
6 |
| New Zealand |
38.16 |
+0.32 |
7 |
| West Indies |
36.10 |
-1.05 |
8 |
| Zimbabwe |
14.54 |
-0.08 |
9 |
With the India-Zimbabwe five-match series about to start, let us consider some probable result scenarios and see how the ODI RBI's might change. We will consider the cases where India win 5-0 (a very feasible result, given India's greater strength, but not very likely), 4-1 (much more likely) or 3-2 (seeing the heavy weather that India made in the last innings of the Delhi test, even this result is likely!).
| TABLE G: LIKELY SCENARIOS IN IND-ZIM SERIES |
| Result |
Ind ODI RBI |
Zim ODI RBI |
Remarks |
| Ind win 5-0 |
39.81 |
13.03 |
Ind (5), Zim (9), Pak (3), SL (4) |
| Ind win 4-1 |
39.73 |
14.54 |
Ind (5), Zim (9), Pak (3), SL (4) |
| Ind win 3-2 |
39.54 |
15.96 |
Ind (5), Zim (9), SL (3), Pak (4) |
Table G suggests that this isn't going to be a terribly exciting series. We believe that the real sparks will fly when the Australia-South Africa series starts a few weeks later. We will discuss that series in our next update.
M J Manohar Rao is professor and director, Department of Economics,
University of Mumbai, Mumbai; Srinivas Bhogle is scientist and head,
Information Management Division, National Aerospace Laboratories, Bangalore.
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Design: Imran Shaikh
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