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February 20, 2002
A costly defeat for Pakistan
M J Manohar Rao and Srinivas Bhogle
By losing the final one-dayer to West Indies at Sharjah on Sunday, Pakistan (52.20) have dropped from the third to the fourth place in the Rediff one-day ratings. Sri Lanka (52.36), who were a mere 0.29 points behind Pakistan before the Sharjah series, have just inched ahead. This fascinating duel between Pakistan and Sri Lanka for the third place will continue in the months to come.
West Indies too return happy as they convert their old 0-2 loss to Pakistan to 1-2. They gain handsomely too because defeating Pakistan in a Sharjah one-dayer is as lucrative as defeating Australia in Australia in a test match! The current scorecard is shown in Table A.
| TABLE A: ODI SCORE CARD (as on February 18, 2002) |
| |
| |
Aus |
Eng |
Ind |
NZ |
Pak |
RSA |
SL |
WI |
Zim |
|
Australia |
H
A
N
|
|
6 / 8
3 / 6
0 / 1
|
4 / 4
4 / 8
0 / 1
|
1 / 5
6 / 7
0 / 1
|
5 / 6
5 / 6
2 / 3
|
4.5/7
1 / 3
1.5 / 2
|
4 / 5
3 / 6
0 / 1
|
7/ 7
3.5 / 7
1 / 1
|
4 / 4
3 / 3
1 / 1
|
| England |
H
A
N
|
3 / 6
2 / 8
1 / 1
|
|
2 / 3
3 / 7
0 / 2
|
2 / 3
2.5 / 6
0 / 1
|
2 / 6
1 / 4
1 / 2
|
1 / 4
2 / 11
0 / 1
|
2 / 2
0 / 3
3 / 5
|
3 / 5
1 / 5
2 / 2
|
3 / 4
5 / 5
1 / 2
|
| India |
H
A
N
|
4 / 8
0 / 4
1 / 1
|
4 / 7
1 / 3
2 / 2
|
|
4 / 6
2 / 5
1 / 3
|
1 / 9
1 / 3
0 / 1
|
4 / 9
3 / 11
1 / 1
|
3 / 4
2 / 7
0 / 3
|
5 / 6
1 / 4
2 / 3
|
6 / 7
4 / 5
2 / 2
|
| New Zealand |
H
A
N
|
1 / 7
4 / 5
1 / 1
|
3.5 / 6
1 / 3
1 / 1
|
3 / 5
2 / 6
2 / 3
|
|
3 / 7
1 / 4
0 / 2
|
3 / 6
0 / 7
1 / 6
|
2 / 6
0 / 5
1 / 2
|
6 / 6
2 / 5
0 / 1
|
2 / 4
1 / 3
1 / 1
|
| Pakistan |
H
A
N
|
1 / 6
1 / 6
1 / 3
|
3 / 4
4 / 6
1 / 2
|
2 / 3
8 / 9
1 / 1
|
3 / 4
4 / 7
2 / 2
|
|
0 / 1
0 / 4
1 / 2
|
0 / 4
4 / 7
2 / 3
|
1.5 / 4
4.5/10
2 / 3
|
2 / 3
2 / 2
2 / 2
|
| South Africa |
H
A
N
|
2 / 3
2.5/7
0.5 / 2
|
9 / 11
3 / 4
1 / 1
|
8 / 11
5 / 9
0 / 1
|
7 / 7
3 / 6
5 / 6
|
4 / 4
1 / 1
1 / 2
|
|
7 / 9
1 / 5
1 / 1
|
8 / 10
5 / 7
1 / 1
|
2 / 3
3 / 3
1 / 1
|
| Sri Lanka |
H
A
N
|
3 / 6
1 / 5
1 / 1
|
3 / 3
0 / 2
2 / 5
|
5 / 7
1 / 4
3 / 3
|
5 / 5
4 / 6
1 / 2
|
3 / 7
4 / 4
1 / 3
|
4 / 5
2 / 9
0 / 1
|
|
3 / 5
0 / 1
1 / 1
|
5 / 5
3 / 4
2 / 2
|
| West Indies |
H
A
N
|
3.5 / 7
0 / 7
0 / 1
|
4 / 5
2 / 5
0 / 2
|
3 / 4
1 / 6
1 / 3
|
3 / 5
0 / 6
1 / 1
|
5.5/10
2.5 / 4
1 / 3
|
2 / 7
2 / 10
0 / 1
|
1 / 1
2 / 5
0 / 1
|
|
2 / 2
2 / 2
1 / 2
|
| Zimbabwe |
H
A
N
|
0 / 3
0 / 4
0 / 1
|
0 / 5
1 / 4
1 / 2
|
1 / 5
1 / 7
0 / 2
|
2 / 3
2 / 4
0 / 1
|
0 / 2
1 / 3
0 / 2
|
0 / 3
1 / 3
0 / 1
|
1 / 4
0 / 5
0 / 2
|
0 / 2
0 / 2
1 / 2
|
|
The current ODI rankings are shown in Table F, below.
| TABLE F: FINAL ODI RANKINGS (as on February 18, 2002) |
| Country |
Performance
index (RBI) |
Difference
8.2.02 to 18.2.02 |
Rank |
| Australia |
64.94 |
-0.07 |
1 |
| South Africa |
64.01 |
-0.01 |
2 |
| Sri Lanka |
52.36 |
-0.01 |
3 |
| Pakistan |
52.20 |
-0.46 |
4 |
| India |
39.95 |
+0.18 |
5 |
| England |
38.97 |
+0.11 |
6 |
| New Zealand |
37.84 |
-0.03 |
7 |
| West Indies |
37.15 |
+0.96 |
8 |
| Zimbabwe |
14.62 |
+0.13 |
9 |
Interest is now focussed on the ongoing five-match duel between New Zealand (37.84) and England (38.97). Things aren't looking too good for England. If England lose all the five matches, they drop to the 8th position -- even below West Indies. Table G summarizes the rankings taking into account the four possible series results in the England-New Zealand series, i.e. NZ win 5-0, 4-1, 3-2 or Eng win 3-2.
| TABLE G: LIKELY SCENARIOS IN NZ-ENG SERIES |
| Result |
NZ ODI RBI |
Eng ODI RBI |
India ODI RBI |
WI ODI RBI |
Remarks |
| NZ win 5-0 |
39.12 |
36.14 |
39.76 |
36.72 |
Ind (5), NZ (6), WI (7), Eng (8) |
| NZ win 4-1 |
38.67 |
37.34 |
39.84 |
36.89 |
Ind (5), NZ (6), Eng (7), WI (8) |
| NZ win 3-2 |
38.13 |
38.45 |
39.91 |
37.06 |
Ind (5), Eng (6), NZ (7), WI (8) |
| Eng win 3-2 |
37.52 |
39.48 |
39.99 |
37.23 |
Ind (5), Eng (6), NZ (7), WI (8) |
Table G once again suggests that places 5-8 remain wide open, with India currently appearing reasonably comfortable right at the middle of the table, although there is no real possibility of reaching the 4th position which is over a dozen points away.
M J Manohar Rao is professor and director, Department of Economics,
University of Mumbai, Mumbai; Srinivas Bhogle is scientist and head,
Information Management Division, National Aerospace Laboratories, Bangalore.
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Design: Imran Shaikh
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